Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000017 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000030 0.000035
2024-12-29 0.000014 0.000016 0.000020 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000048
2025-01-05 0.000012 0.000015 0.000019 0.000024 0.000032 0.000043 0.000062
2025-01-12 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000024 0.000033 0.000048 0.000076
2025-01-19 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023 0.000035 0.000054 0.000092
2025-01-26 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000036 0.000059 0.000112
2025-02-02 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000038 0.000067 0.000139
2025-02-09 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000039 0.000073 0.000166
2025-02-16 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000041 0.000081 0.000206
2025-02-23 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000044 0.000092 0.000264
2025-03-02 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000025 0.000047 0.000104 0.000335
2025-03-09 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000048 0.000113 0.000409
2025-03-16 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000049 0.000123 0.000504
2025-03-23 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000051 0.000136 0.000653
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000053 0.000151 0.000857
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000054 0.000161 0.001059
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000055 0.000173 0.001348
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000056 0.000188 0.001788
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000059 0.000212 0.002618
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000060 0.000230 0.003640
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000063 0.000259 0.005792
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000067 0.000303 0.011157
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000025 0.000071 0.000348 0.023408